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ANDERSON COOPER: How much
of what's happening in Al Anbar is because of the
surge?
MICHAEL WARE: Very little, Anderson.
I mean, what we have seen develop in Al Anbar Province,
what the Americans call their Sunni tribe program,
which is really an American militia-building program,
began well before the surge.
I mean, we know that there's been covert negotiations
between the Americans and the insurgency since 2004. We
then started to see the tribal program emerge back last
year. So, it predates the surge by almost nine months.
COOPER: It comes with great risk, though. I mean, the
Shia- dominated government here is very concerned about
it and what it may mean for the future, especially if
U.S. troops leave.
WARE: And so they should be. I mean, this is one of the
reasons that the Americans have engaged in this
militia-building program. It doesn't just work for them
against al Qaeda. It's also a stick with which to beat
the Iraqi government and try and prod it into real
action. And, above all of that, it's a major block
against the encroaching Iranian influence that America
is now so desperately fearing.
COOPER: Michael, thanks.
We will have more from Michael Ware coming up later on
in this 360 special.
We will also talk to Iraq's prime minister, Nouri
al-Maliki.
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GRAPHIC: U.S. opinion of
war in Iraq, September 7-9. Favor, 34 percent; oppose,
63 percent.
ANDERSON COOPER: Those were some of poll numbers that
greeted General Petraeus as he testified in Washington
this week. Support for the war, now in its fifth year,
has been declining. And as we learned this week, there
are still going to be large numbers of U.S. forces here
going into next year's elections.
You're going to hear politicians trying to come up with
solutions, though there are no easy solutions at all
for what's happening here. The end game, that's what we
want to talk about with CNN's Michael Ware, who joins
me now here in the Green Zone.
In the United States, some, mostly Democrats, want a
date set for withdrawal. They say, those who support
that, that it would pressure the al Maliki government,
it would pressure the Iraqi military to stand up
faster. Would it?
MICHAEL WARE, CNN CORRESPONDENT: That's a dream-like
state. Anyone who's telling themselves that is
absolutely deluding themselves. Maliki's under no
pressure from the presence or not of American forces. I
mean...
COOPER: Really? He's not under pressure from American
forces?
WARE: No. Whilst America, on the one hand, is propping
up his regime, on the other hand, they don't answer to
the Americans. They don't feel beholden to the
Americans. And they have a ready-made sponsor waiting
in the wings to step into the American vacuum, as the
Iranian president himself this week said.
So the presence of American troops is meant to serve
U.S. interests, Western interests. They're not
necessarily the interests of the government that
America has created.
COOPER: But the U.S. can pressure them to some degree,
no?
WARE: It can and it's trying that. It's failed
abysmally until this point. Right now the greatest
stick that America has, that it's jabbing this
government with, the only thing that's forcing them to
even pretend to meet any of the benchmarks on
de-Ba'athification or reconciliation is that America is
now supporting the Ba'ath insurgency. It's supporting
the Sunni tribes, and this is terrifying this
government.
This government's trying to block it at every turn.
Iran has said that you're going to pay a severe price
if you keep doing this, but it's the only thing.
COOPER: You know, there are a lot of folks in the
United States who say, look, why should the U.S. troops
be here? I mean, why should Americans be losing their
lives here when Iraqi politicians are going on vacation
and are not even passing, you know, reforms that would
work towards reconciliation, which would seem -- I
mean, everyone seems to admit that's essential for
progress here.
WARE: And that's right. And that's not going to happen.
You may get it on the surface. You may get some bells
and whistles, but you're not going to get true
reconciliation, no matter how much people are working
to...
COOPER: Still too much hatred and too much desire for
retribution?
WARE: And too much vested interest. I mean, it doesn't
suit peoples' agendas to come together in the middle.
And there's external players all around this country
who don't want to see that happen, and they're having
much greater affect here than America is.
COOPER: Those who support the U.S. effort here say that
American troops should stay because they are vital
national security interest here. If American troops did
pull out in great numbers, withdraw totally, even, say
in the next year or so, do we know for sure what would
happen? Or is it a roll of the dice?
WARE: No one knows for sure. But one thing that we can
count on is that the blood will flow. And American
foreign policy interests will suffer such a withering
blow I'm not sure that they would be able to recover
from this region.
America can leave tomorrow, as long as it's ready to
pay the price. And let's not forget: everyone wants the
American sons and daughters to go home. But this is the
dilemma facing liberal America: you can do that, but
you're going to have such death and misery on your
conscience.
There is a moral imperative here. America chose to
invade. America created this environment that's not
just hurting the Iraqis but it's hurting American
interests. It's fuelling al Qaeda and fuelling Iran.
You can walk away from that, but it's not without
price.
COOPER: Well, Michael, you take an enormous risk to be
reporting here, and we appreciate it. You do a great
job. Thanks so much. We're going to have a lot more
from Iraq coming up. A 360 special, "Anvil of God", a
really remarkable look at the battle of
Fallujah.