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WOLF
BLITZER: When President Bush announced the Iraq troop
surge 15 months ago, he also laid out some markers for
Iraq to meet.
Let's get a Reality Check right now from CNN's Michael
Ware.
He's been covering the war since it began. He's here in
Washington right now. He's up on Capitol Hill. He's
been watching these hearings all day -- Michael, it
must be a fascinating experience for you. But you'll
tell us about it in a second.
I want to go through what President Bush told the
nation 15 months ago when he addressed the nation,
January 2007, about these benchmarks, these goals that
the Iraqis were supposed to fulfill and what he
predicted -- what he said would happen. And let's get a
Reality Check on what actually has happened.
For example, he said the Iraqi government takes
responsibility for security in all of Iraq's provinces
by November, 2007. That's last November.
That exactly hasn't happened yet, has it?
MICHAEL WARE, CNN CORRESPONDENT: The short answer,
Wolf, no, it hasn't. Whilst a number of Iraq's
provinces are now under Iraqi control, they are
predominantly the Kurdish regions in the north -- which
have been self-autonomous even under Saddam since the
no-fly zone -- and the Shia-dominated provinces in the
south, which are under the control of Iranian-backed
militias and political parties.
This is Shia areas where there's very few Sunnis.
There's relatively no presence of al Qaeda. And,
essentially, as one Western diplomat calls much of the
south, it's little Iran without the flag. So we have
some provinces under Iraqi control, but we can hardly
call that a success. And certainly the entire country,
you have to be kidding. No way.
BLITZER: All right. The second thing he set as a
benchmark, to give every Iraqi citizen a stake in the
country's economy, Iraq will pass legislation to share
oil revenues among all Iraqis.
Have they done it?
WARE: Well, there is an oil revenue sharing law, but
just because you've got something on paper, doesn't
mean it's happening on the ground. It's still bogged
down in the process. Certainly it hasn't gone to every
Iraqi. The Sunnis certainly aren't seeing the results
of that. So, in essence, it's like a half tick. Yes,
there's something, but it ain't everything. No, we
can't put a full tick in that box, either.
BLITZER: The third thing he said is to show it is
committed to delivering a better life, the Iraqi
government will spend $10 billion of its own money on
reconstruction and infrastructure projects that will
create new jobs.
We did some checking. The Government Accountability
Office says they've pledged $10 billion, but last year
they only spent 4.4 percent of that. The White House
says they spent 24 percent of the $10 billion. They
still have a long way to go on that front.
WARE: Absolutely. And I think in this year's budget,
they have pledged perhaps another $13 billion or
something of that order. But again, who cares?
You're not seeing it on the ground, either because of
security reasons or sectarian political reasons, where
there is no delivery of aid into areas that are deemed
hostile to the government, particularly, say, in the
Sunni west. So, no. No tick in that box either, Wolf.
Certainly not for the ordinary Iraqi, who's eking out
their miserable lives amidst the war.
BLITZER: Now, here's another thing he said. To empower
local leaders, Iraqis will hold provisional elections
later this year, meaning in 2007.
Now they're expecting to hold the elections later this
year, meaning 2008, is that right?
WARE: Oh, that's correct. And so, not only has it been
delayed, but this has been a difficult birth, this
legislation. It was touted by the U.S. mission as part
of the political surge -- one of three key pieces of
legislation that were finally bludgeoned through the
Iraqi parliament. Yet this one was kicked back by the
Presidential Council, effectively a veto.
After some backroom dealing and the bashing of heads
together, that legislation for the provincial elections
is back on. But we still have to draw up provincial
elections law. And the clock is ticking on how to do
that.
At the end of the day, if these elections are held,
again, it's mainly Iran's parties who look to benefit
and we're going to see a decentralization of security
and power, to that governors and the provincial
councils, away from the central government. So no tick.
BLITZER: One of the benchmarks he did mention, to be
fair to the president, he did say they would reform the
de-Baathification laws.
They have reformed those de-Baathification laws to a
certain degree, haven't they?
WARE: Well, if you happen to, you know, one day throw
in a couple of bucks and actually join the Baath Party.
But, in essence, the real Baathists that this is
supposed to target, the people who this is supposed to
bring back into the community, they're not touched by
this legislation. And, hello, this is a Shia-dominated
government -- a government comprised of factions all of
whom primarily are linked to Iran in one way or
another.
Do you really think they're going to let the Baathists
back? The proof is going to be in the pudding. And
right now, that pudding stinks. It's not fit for
service.
BLITZER: All right. Stand by, because you're going to
come back in the next hour. We'll talk about these
hearings today. As I said, it's probably interesting
for you. Normally, you're in the war zone, but you're
on Capitol Hill right now.
We'll get back to you in the next hour, Michael. Thank
you.
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WOLF
BLITZER: Let's get some analysis from our man up there
on Capitol Hill, right now, Michael Ware, normally our
man in Baghdad, but you're watching this hearing.
What did you think of that exchange, that Senator Obama
had with Ryan Crocker and General David Petraeus?
WARE: Well, like much of what I've witnessed today in
the Armed Services Committee, now in Foreign Relations,
we're not learning anything new. And the questioning by
any of the members of the committees is hardly probing.
And it seems to be more about politicizing or political
grandstanding for the members of the committee's
benefit themselves. I mean, it seems like there's so
much wasted opportunity here.
Now, obviously Senator Obama was trying to wrap things
up and give it a sharper edge to try and pull all these
fragments of the testimony that are very much fuzzy on
the edges and say, well, look, you know, what is it
that can get us out? What is it that can do this?
But I have to say, you know, his questions, like so
many others, from so many other people, reflect what
strikes me as fundamental misunderstandings about the
nature of the fight in the Iraq or the nature of the
current situation in Iraq or what it's going to take to
hold this country together, even as messy and as ugly
as it is right now.
So, I have to say, overall, including Senator Obama's
exchange that I think you just witnessed, it's -- it's
frighteningly disappointing.
BLITZER: Well, give us one example of a question you
would have liked to have heard.
WARE: Well, for example, when we're touching upon Iran:
we all know they're there. No need to ask, you know,
"what are Iraqi intermediaries are saying, I'm sure
you've sent messages there." We all know that. It's
been in the papers for goodness sakes. People rant
about it on TV.
Let's find out what exactly are you doing to curb
Iranian interference. Come on, come clean. What are you
doing? How are you cutting out this tumor of Iranian
influence?
Because at the end of the day, there is no real answer.
Because American policy remains light and fluffy on
that. It's, "well they're Persians, they're Arabs, the
Iraqis are firmly nationalist, there's a long history
but they are scarred by the Iran/Iraq war and let's
cross our fingers and hope those divisions are enough
to divide them." Well, it hasn't helped with Lebanese
Hezbollah and their Arabs. It hasn't helped with Hamas
in Palestine and their Arabs. There seems to be very
little clarity on the main issue of this war which is
America's competition for influence with Iran.
Now, why that's not being drilled home, I have no idea.
And I think it reflects the nature of the body --
general body of knowledge held by members of the
committee. I mean, I just see a lot of oxygen being
wasted here. I wish I could jump in with my own boxing
gloves and have a go at it myself.
BLITZER: All right, stand by.
There's still a lot more questioning today. We've got a
full day of hearings tomorrow as well, maybe some of
those questions you want asked will be asked and
answered.
Michael's going to be back with us shortly. Thanks,
Michael Ware, up on Capitol Hill.